Hopeful Signs of Mittmentum in Michigan

I'm trying not to get my hopes up - I've come out in favor of McCain, after all, in the expectation that my endorsement will be the touch of death - but the stars seem to be aligning for Mitt in Michigan. 

Here's the rundown:

1) It's snowing all over Michigan. 

That's probably the main reason turnout is low, which historically means that the party faithful will be the only ones going to the polls. Mitt's lead among actual Republicans is somewhere around 2-1. Mitt also has a 3-1 advantage in absentee ballots that have already been cast. My guy McCain - he's going to win it all! - has to get independents and Democrats to cross over, because respectable Republicans rightly loathe him. It seems like fewer of them are willing to trudge out in the snow to vote for Beavis the Maverick, who, despite the fact that he is pure evil, will pull it out in the end! You watch! (From a safe distance.)  

2) The RealClearPolitics poll average has Mitt up by 2.7. 

RealClearPolitics is the only place to go for polling data, because they publish every poll and then average them, which usually provides a pretty accurate picture of the final result, except where Hillary and Barack are involved. Mitt was down 5 points in the RCP average on Election Day in New Hampshire, and that was the final vote differential at the finish line. 

3) Most importantly, InTrade is selling Romney shares at 61 and McCain shares at 48.9. 

This is almost a reverse from this morning, when McCain was selling for 54 and Romney at 44. But as we get closer to the result, the smart money is on Mitt. InTrade is rarely, if ever wrong. People who put their money where their mouth is don't bet on losers. 

 4) I'm for McCain. 

My candidate always loses. So Mitt's a shoo-in.