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Thursday, January 24, 2008

Worm Man, Florida, and the New York Times

Alas, the bad news of the night is that Cornelius’ master opus, Worm Man II: Fox Man Returns, did not win the regional Reflections competition. However, Cornelius did manage to score four points in a basketball game, which constituted 40% of the total score. (His team won, 10-6.) Two of those points were free throws, which I found particularly impressive.

Some promising Romney news – talked to my Romney guy who gave me the scoop in Iowa, and he told me of some interesting doings in Florida. Apparently, a Florida bigwig was about to endorse McCain and then got cold feet when he saw how well Romney is doing. The same bigwig said that Florida historically makes up its mind fairly late, and usually goes with the candidate with the biggest ad buy, which is going to be Romney by a mile. Everyone behind the scenes has written off Giuliani altogether, and McCain is suffering from the fact that everyone likes him except Republicans. Thompson’s voters are peeling off primarily to Romney, and Huckabee is a non-factor, as he has essentially pulled out of the state and is making his appeal to Southern anti-Mormons for Super Tuesday.

If you doubt that Romney’s doing well, just check out his InTrade numbers. In Michigan, Romney didn’t pull ahead of McCain until the day of the primary. As of this writing, Romney is trading at 56, and McCain is at 35. (Giuliani is the only other candidate who’s registering – barely – with a 7.5.) This, obviously, can fluctuate considerably, but there aren’t really any opportunities left for McCain to shift the momentum in his direction. Tonight’s debate – which I did not see – was apparently a snoozer, with Romney performing well. McCain was also endorsed tonight by the New York Times, which is the political equivalent of a Stallion Cornell endorsement in kiss-of-death terms. If McCain is the NYT’s candidate, he sure ain’t the GOP’s.

A Romney victory in Florida may not sew up the nomination for him, but there's no doubt it would be a big, big deal.

Go McCain!

2 Comments:

Blogger The Wiz said...

I can't wait. McCain is leading by o.1%, which is to say, he's not leading at all.

January 25, 2008 at 12:42 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey, Stallion,

Your hero Ann Coulter loves Mitt!

http://www.anncoulter.com/cgi-local/article.cgi?article=230

January 25, 2008 at 12:44 PM  

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